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Police Chief Estimates Continued

The police chief has provided you with the following changes in crime statistics for each of the city wards.

Percent Change in Reported Crimes by Ward

North
Homicides +1%
Assaults +1%
Arson +2%
Burglary +5%
Robbery +5%
Drug Arrests -5%
Northeast
Homicides +0%
Assaults +5%
Arson +0%
Burglary +40%
Robbery+25%
Drug Arrests +0%
Northwest
Homicides +.5%
Assaults +1%
Arson +5%
Burglary +20%
Robbery+5%
Drug Arrests -4%
South
Homicides +20%
Assaults +10%
Arson +40%
Burglary -5%
Robbery +0%
Drug Arrests +10%
Southeast
Homicides +25%
Assaults +15%
Arson +50%
Burglary +2%
Robbery +3%
Drug Arrests +15%
Southwest
Homicides +15%
Assaults +5%
Arson +30%
Burglary+0%
Robbery +1%
Drug Arrests +20%
Central
Homicides +0%
Assaults +15 %
Arson +30%
Burglary +20%
Robbery +25%
Drug Arrests +25%

The police chief indicates that the town currently has approximately 1.5 officers for every 1000 residents. There is one police precinct for every ward. The size of the department is currently 560 uniformed or plainclothes officers and 40 civilian dispatchers and other personnel. Although the chief would like the number of officers per 1000 residents to be 1.75, he realizes that his objective may not be achieved immediately. His best estimate of the minimum increase in uniformed and plainclothes officers is 40. This increase will provide the minimum coverage for the population estimate of 400,000 residents as well as maintain the ratio of officers to residents. Assume that the chief's estimates are acceptable when compared to information for similar size cities.

The chief estimates the following costs involved with adding the additional officers. The chief has provided 3 estimates which vary depending on whether the officers hired are inexperienced or are obtained from other departments in the state. All costs are yearly except as noted otherwise. These costs are expected to rise on average 1 percent a year.

Percent of Experienced Officers Hired
0%---
SalaryPlusBenefits $1,600,000
Training $120,000
Equipment $100,000
Police Units $400,000
Percent of Experienced Officers Hired
30%---
SalaryPlusBenefits $1,840,000
Training $105,000
Equipment $100,000
Police Units $400,000
Percent of Experienced Officers Hired
50%---
SalaryPlusBenefits $2,400,000
Training $75,000
Equipment $100,000
Police Units $400,000

Note 1 explains how these officers are assigned to work shifts and how the shortage of officers is currently being handled. Note 2 explains the initial and continuing costs of providing equipment to each officer plus equipment replacements. Note 3 explains the cost of adding additional patrol units. This is a one time cost, however the note also explains the maintenance associated will all police units.

Assume that these estimates are accurate for any analysis

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tcomer@uic.edu Professor Thomas C. Omer